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Who’s Driving Climate Change? New Data Catalogs 72,000 Polluters and Counting

A nonprofit backed by Al Gore and other big environmental donors says it can track emissions down to individual power plants, oil fields and cargo ships.

Two workers in hard hats bike on the road in front of a coal plant with billowing smoke stacks.
Climate TRACE estimates that the Shagang Group steel plant in Zhangjiagang, China, emits more greenhouse gases than any other steel plant on Earth.Credit...Lionel Derimais

Upstream from Shanghai along the Yangtze River, a sprawling factory complex in eastern China is churning out tens of millions of tons of steel a year — and immense quantities of planet-warming gases.

The plant’s owner has not disclosed how much the site emits. Now, though, researchers say that by peering down from space, they have found that the factory’s emissions are likely higher than those of any other steel plant on Earth.

Here’s how they did it.

How Satellites Help Researchers Track Emissions

Key title here

Hottest areas

Warmer areas

Cooler areas

Area of

analysis

Yangtze River

Satellites detect the hottest areas on a given day.

1

Coke plants

STEEL PLANT

Years of heat detections are analyzed to determine each plant’s hot spots.

2

JIANGSU

PROVINCE

Blast

furnaces

All values within hot spots on a given day are used to estimate steel production.

3

Plant-level production estimates allow researchers to approximate plant-level emissions.

4

CHINA

Detail

area

1/2 mile

North

Satellites detect the hottest areas on a given day.

1

Area of

analysis

JIANGSU

PROVINCE

STEEL

PLANT

Coke plants

Years of heat detections are analyzed to determine each plant’s hot spots.

2

Yangtze River

Blast

furnaces

All values within hot spots on a given day are used to estimate steel production.

3

Plant-level production estimates allow researchers to approximate plant-level emissions.

4

CHINA

North

Detail

area

1/2 mile

Yangtze River

Satellites detect the hottest areas on a given day.

Years of heat detections are analyzed to determine each plant’s hot spots.

All values within hot spots on a given day are used to estimate steel production.

1

2

3

Blast

furnaces

Coke plants

STEEL PLANT

Area of

analysis

Plant-level production estimates allow researchers to approximate plant-level emissions.

4

Beijing

JIANGSU

PROVINCE

CHINA

Detail

area

1/2 mile

Satellites detect the hottest areas on a given day.

Years of heat detections are analyzed to determine each plant’s hot spots.

All values within hot spots on a given day are used to estimate steel production.

1

2

3

Yangtze River

Blast

furnaces

Coke plants

STEEL PLANT

Plant-level production estimates allow researchers to approximate plant-level emissions.

Area of

analysis

4

JIANGSU

PROVINCE

Beijing

CHINA

Detail

area

1/2 mile

Notes: Heat anomaly data from Oct. 25, 2021. Steel plant hot spots shown are based on average heat anomaly between 2017 and 2021.

Sources: TransitionZero and Climate TRACE (analysis with Sentinel-2 satellite image by Copernicus); Planet Labs (satellite image for the graphic)

By Zach Levitt

Their estimates are part a new global compendium of emissions released on Wednesday by Climate TRACE, a nonprofit coalition of environmental groups, technology companies and academic scientists. By using software to scour data from satellites and other sources, Climate TRACE says it can project emissions not just for whole countries and industries, but for individual polluting facilities. It catalogs steel and cement factories, power plants, oil and gas fields, cargo ships, cattle feedlots — 72,612 emitters and counting, a hyperlocal atlas of the human activities that are altering the planet’s chemistry.

A Global Picture of Steel Manufacturing Emissions

Circles are sized according to total estimated emissions from individual plants in 2021.

Loading

Notes: Emissions include all greenhouse gases expressed in carbon dioxide equivalents. Data includes over 800 identified steel plants.

Sources: TransitionZero and Climate TRACE

By Zach Levitt

Scientists have been measuring atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane and other greenhouse gases for decades. They know how much average levels are rising worldwide, and they know that burning of fossil fuels is the main driver. It’s when they try to apportion the blame more precisely — How much are specific industries and companies emitting? In which countries? — that things get complicated.


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