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correlalion_multiple.py
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# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-
"""
Created on Thu Feb 22 10:53:53 2018
#斯皮尔曼等级相关(Spearman’s correlation coefficient for ranked data)
"""
from sklearn.metrics import r2_score
import math,pylab,scipy
import numpy as np
import scipy.stats as stats
from scipy.stats import t
from scipy.stats import f
import pandas as pd
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from statsmodels.stats.diagnostic import lillifors
import normality_check
import statsmodels.formula.api as sm
from sklearn import datasets, linear_model
'''
#c测试数据
x=[40,42,50,55,65,78,84,100,116,125,130,140]
y=[130,150,155,140,150,154,165,170,167,180,175,185]
'''
df=pd.read_excel("同盾多头借贷与同盾分数回归分析.xlsx")
array_values=df.values
x=[i[0] for i in array_values]
y=[i[1] for i in array_values]
list_group=[x,y]
sample=len(x)
#显著性
a=0.05
#数据可视化
plt.plot(x,y,'ro')
#斯皮尔曼等级相关,非参数检验
def Spearmanr(x,y):
print("use spearmanr,Nonparametric tests")
#样本不一致时,发出警告
if len(x)!=len(y):
print ("warming,the samples are not equal!")
r,p=stats.spearmanr(x,y)
print("spearman r**2:",r**2)
print("spearman p:",p)
if sample<500 and p>0.05:
print("when sample < 500,p has no mean(>0.05)")
print("when sample > 500,p has mean")
#皮尔森 ,参数检验
def Pearsonr(x,y):
print("use Pearson,parametric tests")
r,p=stats.pearsonr(x,y)
print("pearson r**2:",r**2)
print("pearson p:",p)
if sample<30:
print("when sample <30,pearson has no mean")
#皮尔森 ,参数检验,带有详细参数
def Pearsonr_details(x,y,xLabel,yLabel,formula):
n=len(x)
df=n-2
data=pd.DataFrame({yLabel:y,xLabel:x})
result = sm.ols(formula, data).fit()
print(result.summary())
#模型F分布显著性分析
print('\n')
print("linear relation Significant test:...................................")
#如果F检验的P值<0.05,拒绝H0,x和y无显著关系,H1成立,x和y有显著关系
if result.f_pvalue<0.05:
print ("P value of f test<0.05,the linear relation is right.")
#R的显著检验
print('\n')
print("R significant test:...................................")
r_square=result.rsquared
r=math.sqrt(r_square)
t_score=r*math.sqrt(n-2)/(math.sqrt(1-r**2))
t_std=t.isf(a/2,df)
if t_score<-t_std or t_score>t_std:
print ("R is significant according to its sample size")
else:
print ("R is not significant")
#残差分析
print('\n')
print("residual error analysis:...................................")
states=normality_check.check_normality(result.resid)
if states==True:
print("the residual error are normal distributed")
else:
print("the residual error are not normal distributed")
#残差偏态和峰态
Skew = stats.skew(result.resid, bias=True)
Kurtosis = stats.kurtosis(result.resid, fisher=False,bias=True)
if round(Skew,1)==0:
print("residual errors normality Skew:in middle,perfect match")
elif round(Skew,1)>0:
print("residual errors normality Skew:close right")
elif round(Skew,1)<0:
print("residual errors normality Skew:close left")
if round(Kurtosis,1)==3:
print("residual errors normality Kurtosis:in middle,perfect match")
elif round(Kurtosis,1)>3:
print("residual errors normality Kurtosis:more peak")
elif round(Kurtosis,1)<3:
print("residual errors normality Kurtosis:more flat")
#自相关分析autocorrelation
print('\n')
print("autocorrelation test:...................................")
DW = np.sum( np.diff( result.resid.values )**2.0 )/ result.ssr
if round(DW,1)==2:
print("Durbin-Watson close to 2,there is no autocorrelation.OLS model works well")
else:
print("there may be autocorrelation")
#共线性检查
print('\n')
print("multicollinearity test:")
conditionNumber=result.condition_number
if conditionNumber>30:
print("conditionNumber>30,multicollinearity exists")
else:
print("conditionNumber<=30,multicollinearity not exists")
#绘制残差图,用于方差齐性检验
Draw_residual(list(result.resid))
'''
result.rsquared
Out[28]: 0.61510660055413524
'''
#kendalltau非参数检验
def Kendalltau(x,y):
print("use kendalltau,Nonparametric tests")
r,p=stats.kendalltau(x,y)
print("kendalltau r**2:",r**2)
print("kendalltau p:",p)
#选择模型
def R_mode(x,y,xLabel,yLabel,formula):
#正态性检验
Normal_result=normality_check.NormalTest(list_group)
print ("normality result:",Normal_result)
if len(list_group)>2:
Kendalltau(x,y)
if Normal_result==False:
Spearmanr(x,y)
Kendalltau(x,y)
if Normal_result==True:
Pearsonr_details(x,y,xLabel,yLabel,formula)
print("no matter the normality check is False or True")
Pearsonr_details(x,y,xLabel,yLabel,formula)
#调整的R方
def Adjust_Rsquare(r_square,n,k):
adjust_rSquare=1-((1-r_square)*(n-1)*1.0/(n-k-1))
return adjust_rSquare
'''
n=len(x)
n=10
k=1
r_square=0.615
Adjust_Rsquare(r_square,n,k)
Out[11]: 0.566875
'''
#绘图
def Plot(x,y,yLabel,xLabel,Title):
plt.plot(x,y,'ro')
plt.ylabel(yLabel)
plt.xlabel(xLabel)
plt.title(Title)
plt.show()
#绘图参数
yLabel='Alcohol'
xLabel='Tobacco'
Title='Sales in Several UK Regions'
Plot(x,y,yLabel,xLabel,Title)
formula='Alcohol ~ Tobacco'
#绘制残点图
def Draw_residual(residual_list):
x=[i for i in range(1,len(residual_list)+1)]
y=residual_list
pylab.plot(x,y,'ro')
pylab.title("draw residual to check wrong number")
# Pad margins so that markers don't get clipped by the axes,让点不与坐标轴重合
pylab.margins(0.3)
#绘制网格
pylab.grid(True)
pylab.show()
R_mode(x,y,xLabel,yLabel,formula)