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Reliability and Calibrated Prediction (pymc-devs#491)
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* [Reliability Bayesian pymc-devs#474] Adding notebooks and bib on clean branch

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <NathanielF@users.noreply.github.com>

* [Reliability Bayesian pymc-devs#474] added cost function plot and varied priors.

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <NathanielF@users.noreply.github.com>

* [Reliability Bayesian pymc-devs#474] updated with review comments to hide data import and plotting funcs

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <NathanielF@users.noreply.github.com>

* [Reliability Bayesian pymc-devs#474] updated final plot to display nicer in thumbnail

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <NathanielF@users.noreply.github.com>

* [Reliability Bayesian pymc-devs#474] added text to link bootstrap prediction intervals with posterior predictive intervals

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <NathanielF@users.noreply.github.com>

* update bayesian predictions to use einstats

* [Reliability Bayesian pymc-devs#474] fixed minor typo

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <NathanielF@users.noreply.github.com>

* Update reliability_and_calibrated_prediction.myst.md

Fixed typo on myst too

Signed-off-by: Nathaniel <NathanielF@users.noreply.github.com>
Co-authored-by: Oriol (ZBook) <oriol.abril.pla@gmail.com>
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NathanielF and OriolAbril authored Jan 16, 2023
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