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. 2015 Jun 25;20(25):7-13.
doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.es2015.20.25.21163.

Preliminary epidemiological assessment of MERS-CoV outbreak in South Korea, May to June 2015

B J Cowling  1 , M Park, V J Fang, P Wu, G M Leung, J T Wu
Affiliations

Preliminary epidemiological assessment of MERS-CoV outbreak in South Korea, May to June 2015

B J Cowling et al. Euro Surveill. .

Erratum in

Abstract

South Korea is experiencing the largest outbreak of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus infections outside the Arabian Peninsula, with 166 laboratory-confirmed cases, including 24 deaths up to 19 June 2015. We estimated that the mean incubation period was 6.7 days and the mean serial interval 12.6 days. We found it unlikely that infectiousness precedes symptom onset. Based on currently available data, we predict an overall case fatality risk of 21% (95% credible interval: 14–31).

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Conflict of interest statement

Conflict of interest

BJC reports receipt of research funding from MedImmune Inc. and Sanofi Pasteur and consults for Crucell NV. The authors report no other potential conflicts of interest.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Epidemic curve of MERS-CoV infection, South Korea, 11 May–19 June 2015 (n=166)
Figure 2
Figure 2
Simplified transmission diagram illustrating the superspreading events associated with Cases 1, 14, 16 and fourth-generation infections of MERS-CoV, South Korea, 11 May–19 June 2015 (n=166)
Figure 3
Figure 3
MERS-CoV outbreak, South Korea, 11 May–19 June 2015 (n=166)
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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