Enhanced predictive performance of the GRACE risk score by incorporating lipoprotein(a) for major adverse cardiac events in acute myocardial infarction patients undergoing PCI
- PMID: 39157191
- PMCID: PMC11327944
- DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcrp.2024.200315
Enhanced predictive performance of the GRACE risk score by incorporating lipoprotein(a) for major adverse cardiac events in acute myocardial infarction patients undergoing PCI
Abstract
Background: As scientific research advances, the landscape of detection indicators and methodologies evolves continuously. Our current study aimed to identify some novel perioperative indicators that can enhance the predictive accuracy of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score for the in-hospital major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in patients with acute myocardial infarction.
Methods: A total of 647 adult patients with AMI admitted to the emergency department were consecutively enrolled in the retrospective research starting from June 2016 to September 2019. The endpoint was in-hospital MACE. Stepwise regression analysis and multivariate logistic regression were performed to select the indicators for the union model established by nomogram. Bootstrap with 1000 replicates was chosen as the internal validation of the union model. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) and calibration plot were used to evaluate the discrimination and calibration. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to evaluate the clinical sufficiency of the nomogram. Akaike's information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) were used to evaluate the goodness of fit.
Results: Lipoprotein(a) combined with serum uric acid, fasting blood glucose, and hemoglobin could improve the GRACE risk score. The AUC of the union model was 0.86, which indicated a better discriminative ability than the GRACE risk score alone (AUC, 0.81; P < 0.05). The calibration plots of the union model showed favorable consistency between the prediction of the model and actual observations, which was better than the GRACE risk score. DCA plots suggested that the union model had better clinical applicability than the GRACE risk score.
Conclusion: Lipoprotein(a) has shown promise in augmenting the predictive capability of the GRACE risk score, however, it may be beneficial to integrate it with other commonly used indicators.
Keywords: Acute myocardial infarction; Lipoprotein(a); The global registry of acute coronary events score.
© 2024 The Authors.
Conflict of interest statement
The authors report no relationships that could be construed as a conflict of interest.
Figures
Similar articles
-
Predictive value of inflammation-based Glasgow prognostic score, platelet-lymphocyte ratio, and global registry of acute coronary events score for major cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events during hospitalization in patients with acute myocardial infarction.Aging (Albany NY). 2021 Jul 16;13(14):18274-18286. doi: 10.18632/aging.203273. Epub 2021 Jul 16. Aging (Albany NY). 2021. PMID: 34270463 Free PMC article.
-
Construction and evaluation of nomogram model for individualized prediction of risk of major adverse cardiovascular events during hospitalization after percutaneous coronary intervention in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction.Front Cardiovasc Med. 2022 Dec 21;9:1050785. doi: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.1050785. eCollection 2022. Front Cardiovasc Med. 2022. PMID: 36620648 Free PMC article.
-
Adjustment of the GRACE score by HemoglobinA1c enables a more accurate prediction of long-term major adverse cardiac events in acute coronary syndrome without diabetes undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2015 Aug 19;14:110. doi: 10.1186/s12933-015-0274-4. Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2015. PMID: 26285575 Free PMC article.
-
Predictive value of three Inflammation-based Glasgow Prognostic Scores for major cardiovascular adverse events in patients with acute myocardial infarction during hospitalization: a retrospective study.PeerJ. 2020 Apr 24;8:e9068. doi: 10.7717/peerj.9068. eCollection 2020. PeerJ. 2020. PMID: 32355581 Free PMC article.
-
Enrichment of the Postdischarge GRACE Score With Deceleration Capacity Enhances the Prediction Accuracy of the Long-Term Prognosis After Acute Coronary Syndrome.Front Cardiovasc Med. 2022 Apr 27;9:888753. doi: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.888753. eCollection 2022. Front Cardiovasc Med. 2022. PMID: 35571153 Free PMC article.
References
-
- Roffi M., Patrono C., Collet J.P., et al. 2015 ESC guidelines for the management of acute coronary syndromes in patients presenting without persistent ST-segment elevation: task force for the management of acute coronary syndromes in patients presenting without persistent ST-segment elevation of the European society of Cardiology (ESC) Eur. Heart J. Jan 14 2016;37(3):267–315. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehv320. - DOI - PubMed
LinkOut - more resources
Full Text Sources
Research Materials
Miscellaneous