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Observational Study
. 2024 Jun 4:26:e47070.
doi: 10.2196/47070.

COVID-19 Vaccine Effectiveness and Digital Pandemic Surveillance in Germany (eCOV Study): Web Application-Based Prospective Observational Cohort Study

Affiliations
Observational Study

COVID-19 Vaccine Effectiveness and Digital Pandemic Surveillance in Germany (eCOV Study): Web Application-Based Prospective Observational Cohort Study

Anna-Lena Lang et al. J Med Internet Res. .

Abstract

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic posed significant challenges to global health systems. Efficient public health responses required a rapid and secure collection of health data to improve the understanding of SARS-CoV-2 and examine the vaccine effectiveness (VE) and drug safety of the novel COVID-19 vaccines.

Objective: This study (COVID-19 study on vaccinated and unvaccinated subjects over 16 years; eCOV study) aims to (1) evaluate the real-world effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines through a digital participatory surveillance tool and (2) assess the potential of self-reported data for monitoring key parameters of the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany.

Methods: Using a digital study web application, we collected self-reported data between May 1, 2021, and August 1, 2022, to assess VE, test positivity rates, COVID-19 incidence rates, and adverse events after COVID-19 vaccination. Our primary outcome measure was the VE of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines against laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. The secondary outcome measures included VE against hospitalization and across different SARS-CoV-2 variants, adverse events after vaccination, and symptoms during infection. Logistic regression models adjusted for confounders were used to estimate VE 4 to 48 weeks after the primary vaccination series and after third-dose vaccination. Unvaccinated participants were compared with age- and gender-matched participants who had received 2 doses of BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) and those who had received 3 doses of BNT162b2 and were not infected before the last vaccination. To assess the potential of self-reported digital data, the data were compared with official data from public health authorities.

Results: We enrolled 10,077 participants (aged ≥16 y) who contributed 44,786 tests and 5530 symptoms. In this young, primarily female, and digital-literate cohort, VE against infections of any severity waned from 91.2% (95% CI 70.4%-97.4%) at week 4 to 37.2% (95% CI 23.5%-48.5%) at week 48 after the second dose of BNT162b2. A third dose of BNT162b2 increased VE to 67.6% (95% CI 50.3%-78.8%) after 4 weeks. The low number of reported hospitalizations limited our ability to calculate VE against hospitalization. Adverse events after vaccination were consistent with previously published research. Seven-day incidences and test positivity rates reflected the course of the pandemic in Germany when compared with official numbers from the national infectious disease surveillance system.

Conclusions: Our data indicate that COVID-19 vaccinations are safe and effective, and third-dose vaccinations partially restore protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection. The study showcased the successful use of a digital study web application for COVID-19 surveillance and continuous monitoring of VE in Germany, highlighting its potential to accelerate public health decision-making. Addressing biases in digital data collection is vital to ensure the accuracy and reliability of digital solutions as public health tools.

Keywords: BNT162b2; COVID-19; COVID-19 vaccines; Germany; SARS-CoV-2; data collection; digital public health; disease surveillance; effectiveness; participatory disease surveillance; tool; vaccination; vaccine effectiveness; web application.

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Conflict of interest statement

Conflicts of Interest: ALL, NH, CR, and VV worked for Data4Life, the company that developed the study and study app as well as the underlying research infrastructure. Outside the submitted work, FB reports grants from the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research, grants from the German Federal Ministry of Health, grants from the Berlin Institute of Health, personal fees from Medtronic and Elsevier Publishing, grants from the Hans Böckler Foundation, and travel support from the Robert Koch Institute. All other authors declare no other conflicts of interest.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Vaccine effectiveness (VE) against infection of any severity in the COVID-19 study on vaccinated and unvaccinated subjects over 16 years (eCOV study) cohort in the weeks after the second dose of BNT162b2. VE (%) was calculated for weeks 4 to 48 after completing the primary vaccination series with 2 doses of BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech). Shaded areas indicate 95% CIs.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Vaccine coverage over time. Line plot visualizing the vaccine coverage over time within the COVID-19 study on vaccinated and unvaccinated subjects over 16 years (eCOV study) cohort from the first possible COVID-19 vaccination date in Germany (December 26, 2020) to study end (August 1, 2022). Data are split and color coded by the number of vaccines received. The vaccine coverage data for first, second, and third vaccine doses among the German population are provided as a reference as a dashed line.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Test positivity rates in the COVID-19 study on vaccinated and unvaccinated subjects over 16 years (eCOV study) cohort and the German population over time. Calendar week 17, 2021, marks the start of the eCOV study in May 2021. PCR: polymerase chain reaction.
Figure 4
Figure 4
Comparison of 7-day incidence per 100,000 people in the COVID-19 study on vaccinated and unvaccinated subjects over 16 years (eCOV study) cohort and the German population during the study period from May 1, 2021, to August 1, 2022. The x-axis shows the timeline in calendar weeks from calendar week 5, 2021, to calendar week 30, 2022. The data for Germany consisted of the official figures reported by the national infectious disease surveillance system (refer to the Methods section).

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