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. 2024 Sep;19(6):1567-1575.
doi: 10.1007/s11739-024-03632-5. Epub 2024 May 9.

Monocyte distribution width (MDW) and DECAF: two simple tools to determine the prognosis of severe COPD exacerbation

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Monocyte distribution width (MDW) and DECAF: two simple tools to determine the prognosis of severe COPD exacerbation

Carlos A Amado et al. Intern Emerg Med. 2024 Sep.

Abstract

Monocyte distribution width (MDW) has been associated with inflammation and poor prognosis in various acute diseases. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations (ECOPD) are associated with mortality. The objective of this study was to evaluate the utility of the MDW as a predictor of ECOPD prognosis. This retrospective study included patient admissions for ECOPD. Demographic, clinical and biochemical information; intensive care unit (ICU) admissions; and mortality during admission were recorded. A total of 474 admissions were included. MDW was positively correlated with the DECAF score (r = 0.184, p < 0.001) and C-reactive protein (mg/dL) (r = 0.571, p < 0.001), and positively associated with C-RP (OR 1.115 95% CI 1.076-1.155, p < 0.001), death (OR 9.831 95% CI 2.981- 32.417, p < 0.001) and ICU admission (OR 11.204 95% CI 3.173-39.562, p < 0.001). High MDW values were independent risk factors for mortality (HR 3.647, CI 95% 1.313-10.136, p = 0.013), ICU admission (HR 2.550, CI 95% 1.131-5.753, p = 0.024), or either mortality or ICU admission (HR 3.084, CI 95% 1.624-5.858, p = 0.001). In ROC analysis, a combined MDW-DECAF score had better diagnostic power (AUC 0.777 95% IC 0.708-0.845, p < 0.001) than DECAF (p = 0.023), MDW (p = 0.026) or C-RP (p = 0.002) alone. MDW is associated with ECOPD severity and predicts mortality and ICU admission with a diagnostic accuracy similar to that of DECAF and C-RP. The MDW- DECAF score has better diagnostic accuracy than MDW or DECAF alone in identifying mortality or ICU admission.

Keywords: COPD; DECAF; Exacerbation; MDW; Prognosis.

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Conflict of interest statement

Carlos Amado has received speaker or consulting fees from Boehringer Ingelheim, Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Novartis, Chiesi, Faes Farma, Esteve and GSK. Guido Andretta has received speaker fees from AstraZeneca. Javier Zuazaga has received speaker fees from Boehringer Ingelheim. The rest of the authors do not have any conflict of interest.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Flowchart for patient selection
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
High MDW (> 21.5 units) as a predictor of A ICU admission, B mortality and C ICU admission or mortality. MDW monocyte distribution width
Fig. 3
Fig. 3
Receiver operator characteristic curve showing the discrimination ability of MDW, C-reactive protein, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, the DECAF score and the MDW–DECAF score for in-hospital mortality or ICU admission. MDW monocyte distribution width, DECAF dyspnea, eosinopenia, consolidation, acidemia and atrial fibrillation score

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