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. 2021 Feb 2;33(2):258-269.e3.
doi: 10.1016/j.cmet.2021.01.002. Epub 2021 Jan 5.

The Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Determines Clinical Efficacy of Corticosteroid Therapy in Patients with COVID-19

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The Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Determines Clinical Efficacy of Corticosteroid Therapy in Patients with COVID-19

Jingjing Cai et al. Cell Metab. .

Abstract

Corticosteroid therapy is now recommended as a treatment in patients with severe COVID-19. But one key question is how to objectively identify severely ill patients who may benefit from such therapy. Here, we assigned 12,862 COVID-19 cases from 21 hospitals in Hubei Province equally to a training and a validation cohort. We found that a neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) > 6.11 at admission discriminated a higher risk for mortality. Importantly, however, corticosteroid treatment in such individuals was associated with a lower risk of 60-day all-cause mortality. Conversely, in individuals with an NLR ≤ 6.11 or with type 2 diabetes, corticosteroid treatment was not associated with reduced mortality, but rather increased risks of hyperglycemia and infections. These results show that in the studied cohort corticosteroid treatment is associated with beneficial outcomes in a subset of COVID-19 patients who are non-diabetic and with severe symptoms as defined by NLR.

Keywords: COVID-19; corticosteroids; inflammatory status; mortality; neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio.

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Conflict of interest statement

Declaration of Interests The authors declare no competing interests.

Figures

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Graphical abstract
Figure 1
Figure 1
The Flow Chart of Patient Inclusion and Analysis Procedures in the Study (A) A total of 15,649 individuals admitted to hospitals from December 30, 2019, to April 17, 2020, were enrolled in the study. There were 2,787 individuals not eligible for the study that were excluded. A total of 12,682 individuals were randomly and equally divided into training and validation cohorts. Screening of blood cell factors related to high risk of COVID-19 mortality was performed in the training cohort. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was the integrated indicator closely associated with the risk of death, and the optimal cut-off at 6.11 was developed by the highest Youden index. The capability of NLR and its cut-off at 6.11 to discriminate the high risk of death were verified in the validation cohort. (B) The association between corticosteroid treatment and 60-day all-cause mortality was analyzed in individuals with NLR-defined high (>6.11) or low (≤6.11) risk of death in training and validation groups. In addition, the association between corticosteroid treatment and mortality was analyzed in individuals with T2D.

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