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. 2017 Jul 10;7(7):e016805.
doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2017-016805.

Determinants of mortality and prolonged hospital stay among dengue patients attending tertiary care hospital: a cross-sectional retrospective analysis

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Determinants of mortality and prolonged hospital stay among dengue patients attending tertiary care hospital: a cross-sectional retrospective analysis

Tauqeer Hussain Mallhi et al. BMJ Open. .

Abstract

Objectives: Dengue imposes substantial economic, societal and personal burden in terms of hospital stay, morbidity and mortality. Early identification of dengue cases with high propensity of increased hospital stay and death could be of value in isolating patients in need of early interventions. The current study was aimed to determine the significant factors associated with dengue-related prolonged hospitalisation and death.

Design: Cross-sectional retrospective study.

Setting: Tertiary care teaching hospital.

Participants: Patients with confirmed dengue diagnosis were stratified into two categories on the basis of prolonged hospitalisation (≤3 days and >3 days) and mortality (fatal cases and non-fatal cases). Clinico-laboratory characteristics between these categories were compared by using appropriate statistical methods.

Results: Of 667 patients enrolled, 328 (49.2%) had prolonged hospitalisation. The mean hospital stay was 4.88±2.74 days. Multivariate analysis showed that dengue haemorrhagic fever (OR 2.3), elevated alkaline phosphatase (ALP) (OR 2.3), prolonged prothrombin time (PT) (OR 1.7), activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) (OR 1.9) and multiple-organ dysfunctions (OR 2.1) were independently associated with prolonged hospitalisation. Overall case fatality rate was 1.1%. Factors associated with dengue mortality were age >40 years (p=0.004), secondary infection (p=0.040), comorbidities (p<0.05), acute kidney injury (p<0.001), prolonged PT (p=0.022), multiple-organ dysfunctions (p<0.001), haematocrit >20% (p=0.001), rhabdomyolosis (p<0.001) and respiratory failure (p=0.007). Approximately half of the fatal cases in our study had prolonged hospital stay of greater than three days.

Conclusions: The results underscore the high proportion of dengue patients with prolonged hospital stay. Early identification of factors relating to prolonged hospitalisation and death will have obvious advantages in terms of appropriate decisions about treatment and management in high dependency units.

Keywords: Dengue; Dengue Hemorrhagic fever; Dengue Viral Infection; Hospital stay; Mortality; Risk Factors.

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Conflict of interest statement

Competing interests: None declared.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Incidence of dengue cases and deaths in Malaysia (Ministry of Health Malaysia, epidemiological data of WHO and MOH may slightly vary due to the differences in reporting criteria or lack of reporting).
Figure 2
Figure 2
Methodological flow of study. JEPeM, Human Resource Ethics Committee.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Receiver-operating characteristics curve analysis of multivariate logistic model predicting prolonged hospitalisation among dengue patients. AUC, area under the curve.

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