Below is a detailed implementation of a hybrid Forex trading application that combines Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) reinforcement learning with transformer-based models. This approach leverages the strengths of both RL and transformers to potentially enhance trading performance.
Table of Contents Introduction Project Setup Dependencies Data Collection and Preprocessing Data Download Data Preprocessing Building the Transformer Model Custom Time-Series Transformer Modifying the PPO Agent Custom Policy with Transformer Creating the Custom Gym Environment Environment Adjustments Training the Hybrid Agent Evaluation Conclusion References Introduction In this implementation, we'll:
Combine PPO RL with a Transformer Model: Integrate a transformer into the PPO agent's policy network to process sequential market data. Develop a Custom Gym Environment: Simulate the Forex trading environment with appropriate state representation and reward structure. Train and Evaluate the Agent: Train the hybrid agent and assess its performance. Project Setup Dependencies Install the necessary Python libraries:
bash Copy code pip install numpy pandas matplotlib scikit-learn torch gym stable-baselines3 yfinance ta numpy, pandas: Data manipulation. matplotlib: Data visualization. scikit-learn: Preprocessing and evaluation metrics. torch: Deep learning framework. gym: Reinforcement learning environment. stable-baselines3: PPO implementation. yfinance: Market data retrieval. ta: Technical analysis indicators. Data Collection and Preprocessing Data Download We'll use yfinance to download historical Forex data.
python Copy code import yfinance as yf import pandas as pd
symbol = 'EURUSD=X' # EUR/USD exchange rate start_date = '2022-01-01' end_date = '2023-01-01' interval = '5m' # 5-minute intervals
data = yf.download(symbol, start=start_date, end=end_date, interval=interval) data = data.dropna() Data Preprocessing Adding Technical Indicators We can enhance the data by adding technical indicators using the ta library.
python Copy code from ta.volatility import BollingerBands from ta.trend import MACD, SMAIndicator from ta.momentum import RSIIndicator
data['SMA'] = SMAIndicator(data['Close'], window=14).sma_indicator() data['MACD'] = MACD(data['Close']).macd() data['RSI'] = RSIIndicator(data['Close'], window=14).rsi()
bb_indicator = BollingerBands(data['Close']) data['BB_High'] = bb_indicator.bollinger_hband() data['BB_Low'] = bb_indicator.bollinger_lband()
data = data.dropna() Feature Engineering Normalize and prepare the data.
python Copy code from sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler
features = ['Open', 'High', 'Low', 'Close', 'Volume', 'SMA', 'MACD', 'RSI', 'BB_High', 'BB_Low'] scaler = MinMaxScaler() data[features] = scaler.fit_transform(data[features])
data = data.reset_index() Sequence Preparation Prepare sequences for the transformer.
python Copy code import numpy as np
sequence_length = 12 # Number of past observations to consider
def create_sequences(df, seq_length): sequences = [] for i in range(len(df) - seq_length): seq = df.iloc[i:i+seq_length][features].values sequences.append(seq) return np.array(sequences)
sequences = create_sequences(data, sequence_length) Building the Transformer Model Custom Time-Series Transformer We will create a transformer model tailored for time-series data.
python Copy code import torch import torch.nn as nn
class TimeSeriesTransformer(nn.Module): def init(self, feature_size, num_heads, num_layers, dropout=0.1): super(TimeSeriesTransformer, self).init() self.model_type = 'Transformer' self.positional_encoding = nn.Parameter(torch.zeros(1, sequence_length, feature_size)) encoder_layer = nn.TransformerEncoderLayer(d_model=feature_size, nhead=num_heads, dropout=dropout) self.transformer_encoder = nn.TransformerEncoder(encoder_layer, num_layers=num_layers) self.decoder = nn.Linear(feature_size, feature_size) self.feature_size = feature_size
def forward(self, src):
src = src + self.positional_encoding
output = self.transformer_encoder(src)
output = self.decoder(output)
return output[:, -1, :] # Return the last time step's output
Explanation: The transformer processes sequences of market data. We add positional encoding to retain temporal information. The decoder outputs a representation for the last time step. Modifying the PPO Agent Custom Policy with Transformer We need to create a custom policy network that incorporates the transformer model.
python Copy code from stable_baselines3.common.torch_layers import BaseFeaturesExtractor from stable_baselines3 import PPO import gym import torch.nn.functional as F
class CustomCombinedExtractor(BaseFeaturesExtractor): def init(self, observation_space: gym.spaces.Box, feature_size=64): super(CustomCombinedExtractor, self).init(observation_space, features_dim=feature_size) self.sequence_length = sequence_length num_features = observation_space.shape[1] self.transformer = TimeSeriesTransformer( feature_size=num_features, num_heads=4, num_layers=2 )
def forward(self, observations):
# observations shape: (batch_size, seq_length, num_features)
x = self.transformer(observations)
return x
policy_kwargs = dict( features_extractor_class=CustomCombinedExtractor, features_extractor_kwargs=dict(feature_size=len(features)), net_arch=[dict(pi=[64, 64], vf=[64, 64])], activation_fn=nn.ReLU ) Explanation: The CustomCombinedExtractor extracts features using the transformer model. The output is fed into the policy (pi) and value function (vf) networks. Creating the Custom Gym Environment Environment Adjustments We'll adjust the environment to work with sequences and provide data suitable for the transformer.
python Copy code class ForexTradingEnv(gym.Env): metadata = {'render.modes': ['human']}
def __init__(self, data, sequence_length):
super(ForexTradingEnv, self).__init__()
self.data = data
self.sequence_length = sequence_length
self.max_steps = len(self.data) - self.sequence_length - 1
self.current_step = 0
self.initial_balance = 10000.0
self.balance = self.initial_balance
self.net_worth = self.initial_balance
self.positions = 0.0
self.total_profit = 0.0
# Define action and observation space
# Actions: 0 = Hold, 1 = Buy, 2 = Sell
self.action_space = spaces.Discrete(3)
# Observation space: sequence_length x number of features
obs_shape = (self.sequence_length, len(features))
self.observation_space = spaces.Box(low=-np.inf, high=np.inf, shape=obs_shape, dtype=np.float32)
def reset(self):
self.balance = self.initial_balance
self.net_worth = self.initial_balance
self.positions = 0.0
self.total_profit = 0.0
self.current_step = np.random.randint(self.sequence_length, self.max_steps)
return self._next_observation()
def _next_observation(self):
obs = self.data.iloc[self.current_step - self.sequence_length:self.current_step][features].values
return obs
def step(self, action):
done = False
reward = 0
current_price = self.data.iloc[self.current_step]['Close']
# Execute action
if action == 1: # Buy
if self.balance > 0:
self.positions = self.balance / current_price
self.balance = 0
elif action == 2: # Sell
if self.positions > 0:
self.balance = self.positions * current_price
self.positions = 0
# Update net worth
self.net_worth = self.balance + self.positions * current_price
# Calculate reward as the change in net worth
reward = self.net_worth - self.initial_balance
# Move to the next time step
self.current_step += 1
if self.current_step >= self.max_steps:
done = True
obs = self._next_observation()
info = {'net_worth': self.net_worth}
return obs, reward, done, info
def render(self, mode='human'):
profit = self.net_worth - self.initial_balance
print(f'Step: {self.current_step}')
print(f'Balance: {self.balance:.2f}')
print(f'Positions: {self.positions:.4f}')
print(f'Net Worth: {self.net_worth:.2f}')
print(f'Profit: {profit:.2f}')
Explanation: The environment now provides sequences of observations suitable for the transformer. The agent receives a sequence of past observations and decides to hold, buy, or sell. The reward is the change in net worth. Training the Hybrid Agent python Copy code import gym from stable_baselines3.common.vec_env import DummyVecEnv
env = DummyVecEnv([lambda: ForexTradingEnv(data, sequence_length)])
model = PPO('MlpPolicy', env, verbose=1, policy_kwargs=policy_kwargs, tensorboard_log='./ppo_forex_tensorboard/')
total_timesteps = 100000 # Adjust as needed model.learn(total_timesteps=total_timesteps)
model.save('ppo_forex_transformer') Notes: Adjust total_timesteps based on your computational resources. TensorBoard logging can help monitor training progress. Evaluation python Copy code
model = PPO.load('ppo_forex_transformer')
env = ForexTradingEnv(data, sequence_length) obs = env.reset() done = False
while not done: action, _states = model.predict(obs) obs, reward, done, info = env.step(action) env.render() Visualization: You can collect performance metrics and plot net worth over time. Implement more sophisticated evaluation by running the agent over multiple episodes and aggregating results. Conclusion In this implementation, we've created a hybrid Forex trading agent that combines PPO reinforcement learning with a transformer model:
Transformer Integration: The transformer processes sequences of market data to extract temporal features. Custom Policy Network: The policy network incorporates the transformer's output to make trading decisions. Environment Adjustments: The environment provides sequential observations compatible with the transformer's input requirements. Potential Enhancements:
Hyperparameter Tuning: Experiment with different transformer configurations (number of layers, heads, etc.). Feature Engineering: Include additional features such as economic indicators or sentiment analysis. Risk Management: Incorporate transaction costs, slippage, and risk constraints into the environment and agent. References Vaswani, A., et al. (2017). Attention is all you need. Link OpenAI Baselines: GitHub Repository Stable Baselines3 Documentation: Link PyTorch Documentation: Link TA-Lib Technical Analysis Library: Link# tradesformer A new approach to Forex trading using PPO with Gym. The strategy incorporates multiple FX pairs into a single environment, enabling simultaneous decision-making, pair selection, and hedging opportunities. The environment is designed for weekly-based Forex trading, focusing on optimizing Sharpe ratios, win rates, and overall portfolio management.