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. 2020 May 15;126(10):2225-2249.
doi: 10.1002/cncr.32802. Epub 2020 Mar 12.

Annual report to the nation on the status of cancer, part I: National cancer statistics

Affiliations

Annual report to the nation on the status of cancer, part I: National cancer statistics

S Jane Henley et al. Cancer. .

Abstract

Background: The American Cancer Society, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the National Cancer Institute, and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries collaborate to provide annual updates on cancer occurrence and trends in the United States.

Methods: Data on new cancer diagnoses during 2001 through 2016 were obtained from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention-funded and National Cancer Institute-funded population-based cancer registry programs and compiled by the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries. Data on cancer deaths during 2001 through 2017 were obtained from the National Center for Health Statistics' National Vital Statistics System. Trends in incidence and death rates for all cancers combined and for the leading cancer types by sex, racial/ethnic group, and age were estimated by joinpoint analysis and characterized by the average annual percent change during the most recent 5 years (2012-2016 for incidence and 2013-2017 for mortality).

Results: Overall, cancer incidence rates decreased 0.6% on average per year during 2012 through 2016, but trends differed by sex, racial/ethnic group, and cancer type. Among males, cancer incidence rates were stable overall and among non-Hispanic white males but decreased in other racial/ethnic groups; rates increased for 5 of the 17 most common cancers, were stable for 7 cancers (including prostate), and decreased for 5 cancers (including lung and bronchus [lung] and colorectal). Among females, cancer incidence rates increased during 2012 to 2016 in all racial/ethnic groups, increasing on average 0.2% per year; rates increased for 8 of the 18 most common cancers (including breast), were stable for 6 cancers (including colorectal), and decreased for 4 cancers (including lung). Overall, cancer death rates decreased 1.5% on average per year during 2013 to 2017, decreasing 1.8% per year among males and 1.4% per year among females. During 2013 to 2017, cancer death rates decreased for all cancers combined among both males and females in each racial/ethnic group, for 11 of the 19 most common cancers among males (including lung and colorectal), and for 14 of the 20 most common cancers among females (including lung, colorectal, and breast). The largest declines in death rates were observed for melanoma of the skin (decreasing 6.1% per year among males and 6.3% among females) and lung (decreasing 4.8% per year among males and 3.7% among females). Among children younger than 15 years, cancer incidence rates increased an average of 0.8% per year during 2012 to 2016, and cancer death rates decreased an average of 1.4% per year during 2013 to 2017. Among adolescents and young adults aged 15 to 39 years, cancer incidence rates increased an average of 0.9% per year during 2012 to 2016, and cancer death rates decreased an average of 1.0% per year during 2013 to 2017.

Conclusions: Although overall cancer death rates continue to decline, incidence rates are leveling off among males and are increasing slightly among females. These trends reflect population changes in cancer risk factors, screening test use, diagnostic practices, and treatment advances. Many cancers can be prevented or treated effectively if they are found early. Population-based cancer incidence and mortality data can be used to inform efforts to decrease the cancer burden in the United States and regularly monitor progress toward goals.

Keywords: Annual Report to the Nation; Epidemiology; National Program of Cancer Registries (NPCR); National Vital Statistics System (NVSS); North American Association of Central Cancer Registries (NAACCR); Surveillance; and End Results (SEER) program; cancer; epidemiology; incidence; mortality; trends.

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Conflict of interest statement

CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURES

The authors have no conflicts of interest related to this work to disclose.

Figures

Figure 1.
Figure 1.
Trends in age-standardized incidence rates (2001–2016) and death rates (2001–2017) for all cancer sites combined, all races and ethnicities combined, by sex. Incidence rates were delay-adjusted and covered 93% of the US population and death rates covered the entire US population. Trends were estimated using joinpoint regression and characterized by annual percent change (APC), the slope of a single segment, and average APC (AAPC), a summary measure of the APCs over a fixed 5-year interval. The 16-year period for incidence allowed up to 3 different APCs, and the 17-year period for mortality allowed up to 4 different APCs. An asterisk (*) indicates that the APC or AAPC was statistically significantly different from 0 (p<.05). 95% confidence limits are given in parentheses.
Figure 2.
Figure 2.
Age-standardized, delay-adjusted overall cancer incidence rates for 2012–2016 among males and females by racial/ethnic group. Racial/ethnic groups are mutually exclusive. Data for non-Hispanic AI/AN are restricted to PRCDA counties. Abbreviations: AI/AN, American Indian/Alaska Native; API, Asian/Pacific Islander; PRCDA, Indian Health Service Purchased/Referred Care Delivery Areas.
Figure 3.
Figure 3.
Average annual percent change (AAPC) in age-standardized, delay-adjusted incidence rates for 2012–2016 for all sites and the 17 most common cancers in men and the 18 most common cancers in women, all ages, all races/ethnicities combined, among A) males and B) females. The AAPC was a weighted average of the annual percent change (APCs) over the fixed 5-year interval 2012–2016 using the underlying joinpoint regression model, which allowed up to 3 different APCs, for the 16-year period 2001–2016. AAPCs with an asterisk (*) were statistically significantly different from zero (P<0.05) and are depicted as solid-colored bars; AAPCs with hash marks were not statistically significantly different from zero (stable). Abbreviations: NOS, not otherwise specified.
Figure 4.
Figure 4.
Age-standardized, delay-adjusted overall cancer incidence rates for 2012–2016 (A) and average annual percent change (AAPC) in rates for 2012–2016 (B) by state. The AAPC was a weighted average of the annual percent change (APCs) over the fixed 5-year interval 2012–2016 using the underlying joinpoint regression model, which allowed up to 3 different APCs, for the 16-year period 2001–2016. Stable AAPCs were not statistically significantly different from zero (P<0.05).
Figure 4.
Figure 4.
Age-standardized, delay-adjusted overall cancer incidence rates for 2012–2016 (A) and average annual percent change (AAPC) in rates for 2012–2016 (B) by state. The AAPC was a weighted average of the annual percent change (APCs) over the fixed 5-year interval 2012–2016 using the underlying joinpoint regression model, which allowed up to 3 different APCs, for the 16-year period 2001–2016. Stable AAPCs were not statistically significantly different from zero (P<0.05).
Figure 5.
Figure 5.
Age-standardized, overall cancer death rates for 2013–2017 among males and females by racial/ethnic group. Racial/ethnic groups are mutually exclusive. Data for non-Hispanic AI/AN are restricted to PRCDA counties. Abbreviations: AI/AN, American Indian/Alaska Native; API, Asian/Pacific Islander; PRCDA, Indian Health Service Purchased/Referred Care Delivery Areas.
Figure 6.
Figure 6.
Average annual percent change (AAPC) in age-standardized death rates for 2013–2017 for all sites and the 19 most common cancer deaths in men and the 20 most common cancer deaths in women, all ages, all races/ethnicities combined, among A) males and B) females. The AAPC was a weighted average of the annual percent change (APCs) over the fixed 5-year interval 2013–2017 using the underlying joinpoint regression model, which allowed up to 4 different APCs, for the 17-year period 2001–2017. AAPCs with an asterisk (*) were statistically significantly different from zero (P<0.05) and are depicted as solid-colored bars; AAPCs with hash marks were not statistically significantly different from zero (stable). Abbreviations: NOS, not otherwise specified.
Figure 7.
Figure 7.
Age-standardized overall cancer death rates for 2013–2017 (A) and average annual percent change (AAPC) in rates for 2013–2017 (B) by state. The AAPC was a weighted average of the annual percent change (APCs) over the fixed 5-year interval 2013–2017 using the underlying joinpoint regression model, which allowed up to 4 different APCs, for the 17-year period 2001–2017. Stable AAPCs were not statistically significantly different from zero (P<0.05).
Figure 7.
Figure 7.
Age-standardized overall cancer death rates for 2013–2017 (A) and average annual percent change (AAPC) in rates for 2013–2017 (B) by state. The AAPC was a weighted average of the annual percent change (APCs) over the fixed 5-year interval 2013–2017 using the underlying joinpoint regression model, which allowed up to 4 different APCs, for the 17-year period 2001–2017. Stable AAPCs were not statistically significantly different from zero (P<0.05).

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