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Prior transition probabilities in higher order models #76

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j-petit opened this issue Sep 29, 2020 · 2 comments
Open

Prior transition probabilities in higher order models #76

j-petit opened this issue Sep 29, 2020 · 2 comments
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enhancement New feature or request

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@j-petit
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j-petit commented Sep 29, 2020

Thanks for the great work on pathpy! I do research on host intrusion detection with Linux system calls which can be nicely modeled with pathpy. However, a feature I am missing so far is the concept of uniform prior transition probabilities for higher order models.

In the current setup, when the likelihood of a path which contains a transition that has not been observed before is calculated, the likelihood will simply be zero. However, in my application it would be a lot more informative, if I had a uniform prior for all transitions. Because of the combinatorial explosion in higher order models, it is not possible to simply add all possible paths one time.

If there is interest from the community/maintainers, I could try to provide a PR for pathpy3 with this functionality. Any thoughts on this?

@user1246638
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Hi Jens,

Thank you for reaching out!

Yes, there is interest, and moreover, we have already made some first steps. If you would like, we can schedule a meeting to discuss the idea, and potentially start a collaboration on this.

Kind regards,
Luka Petrović

@IngoScholtes
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This calls for an integration of the Bayesian inference method proposed here

@IngoScholtes IngoScholtes added the enhancement New feature or request label Apr 16, 2021
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