Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

  • Paper
  • Published:

Influence of obesity on cardiovascular risk. Twenty-three-year follow-up of 22 025 men from an urban Swedish population

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To assess to what extent the incidence of coronary events and death related to smoking, hypertension, hyperlipidemia and diabetes is modified by obesity.

DESIGN: Prospective cohort study.

SUBJECTS: A total of 22 025 men aged 27 to 61-y-old at entry.

MEASUREMENTS: Incidence of coronary events (CE, ie acute myocardial infarctions and deaths due to chronic ischaemic heart disease) and death during 23 y of follow-up was studied in relation to body mass index (BMI), heart rate, blood pressure, blood lipids, glucose and insulin, lifestyle factors, history of angina pectoris, history of cancer, self-reported health and socio-economic conditions.

RESULTS: At the end of follow-up 20% of the obese men were no longer alive, and 13% had had a coronary event. Incidence of CE was 16% lower (RR (relative risk) 0.84; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.65–1.10) among underweight (n=1171), 24% higher (RR 1.24; CI 1.12–1.37) among overweight (n=7773), and 76% higher (RR 1.76; 95% CI 1.49–2.08) among obese men (n=1343) than it was among men with normal BMI (n=11 738). The risk associated with overweight and obesity remained statistically significant after adjustment for potential confounders (RR 1.18; CI 1.07–1.31; and 1.39; 1.17–1.65, respectively). The association between BMI and mortality was J-shaped. In all, 1.7% of the obese men were smokers with hypertension, hyperlipidaemia and diabetes, 16.3% were not exposed to any of these risk factors. The cardiovascular risk associated with obesity was small in the absence of other risk factors. Between smoking and obesity there was a statistically significant synergistic effect.

CONCLUSIONS: Obesity is associated with an increased incidence of coronary events and death. The risk associated with obesity is substantially increased by exposure to other atherosclerotic risk factors, of which smoking seems to be the most important. The preventive potential of these associations should be evaluated in controlled trials.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Access options

Figure 1

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Gordon T, Kannel WB . Obesity and cardiovascular diseases: the Framingham study Clin Endocrinol Metab 1976 5: 367–375.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  2. Hubert HB, Feinleib M, McNamara PM, Castelli WP . Obesity as an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease: a 26-year follow-up of participants in the Framingham Heart Study Circulation 1983 67: 968–977.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  3. Tuomilehto J, Salonen JT, Marti B, Jalkanen L, Puska P, Nissinen A, Wolf E . Body weight and risk of myocardial infarction and death in the adult population of eastern Finland Br Med J (Clin Res Ed) 1987 295: 623–627.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  4. Kannel WB, Cupples LA, Ramaswami R, Stokes J III, Kreger BE, Higgins M . Regional obesity and risk of cardiovascular disease; the Framingham Study J Clin Epidemiol 1991 44: 183–190.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  5. Lee IM, Manson JE, Hennekens CH, Paffenbarger RS Jr . Body weight and mortality. A 27-year follow-up of middle-aged men JAMA 1993 270: 2823–2828.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  6. Dorn JM, Schisterman EF, Winkelstein W, Trevisan M . Body mass index and mortality in a general population sample of men and women. The Buffalo Health Study Am J Epidemiol 1997 146: 919–931.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  7. Calle EE, Thun MJ, Petrelli JM, Rodriguez C, Heath CW Jr . Body-mass index and mortality in a prospective cohort of US adults New Engl J Med 1999 341: 1097–1105.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  8. Trell E . Community-based preventive medical department for individual risk factor assessment and intervention in an urban population Prev Med 1983 12: 397–402.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  9. Berglund G, Eriksson KF, Israelsson B, Kjellström T, Lindgärde F, Mattiasson I, Nilsson JA, Stavenow L . Cardiovascular risk groups and mortality in an urban Swedish male population: the Malmö Preventive Project J Intern Med 1996 239: 489–497.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  10. Berglund G, Nilsson P, Eriksson KF, Nilsson JA, Hedblad B, Kristenson H, Lindgärde F . Long-term outcome of the Malmö Preventive Project: mortality and cardiovascular morbidity J Intern Med 2000 247: 19–29.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  11. World Health Organization. Obesity: preventing and managing the global epidemic Report of a WHO consultation on obesity, Geneva, 3–5 June. WHO/NUT/NCD/98.1 WHO: Geneva 1997.

  12. 1986 guidelines for the treatment of mild hypertension: memorandum from a WHO/ISH meeting. J Hypertens 1986 4: 383–386.

  13. Treatment of hyperlipidemia Information Medical Products Agency: Sweden 1995 no. 3, pp 178–187.

  14. World Health Organization. Expert committee on diabetes mellitus. Third report WHO Technical Report Series 727 WHO: Geneva 1985 pp 9–13.

  15. Kristenson H, Trell E . Indicators of alcohol consumption: comparisons between a questionnaire (Mm-MAST), interviews and serum gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) in a health survey of middle-aged males Br J Addict 1982 77: 297–304.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  16. Nilsson PM, Nilsson J-A, Hedblad B, Berglund G . Sleep distrubance in association with elevated pulse rate for prediction of mortality-consequences of mental strain? J Intern Med 2001 250: 521–529.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  17. Swedish National Central Bureau of Statistics. Swedish socio-economic classification Reports on statistical coordination no 4 (in Swedish) The Bureau: Stockholm 1982.

  18. The National Board of Health and Welfare. Värdering av diagnoskvaliteten för akut hjärtinfarkt i tre svenska län Artikelnr 1997-84-8: Stockholm 1997 (in Swedish)

  19. Causes of Death 1995 The National Board of Health and Welfare, Centre of Epidemiology: Stockholm 1997.

  20. Tydén P, Hansen O, Janzon L . Intra-urban variations in incidence and mortality in myocardial infarction. A study from the myocardial infarction register in the city of Malmö, Sweden Eur Heart J 1998 19: 1795–1801.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. International classification of diseases, Ninth revision (ICD-9) WHO: Geneva 1977.

  22. Hallqvist J, Ahlbom A, Diderichsen F, Reuterwall C . How to evaluate interaction between causes: a review of practices in cardiovascular epidemiology J Intern Med 1996 239: 377–382.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  23. Rothman KJ, Greenland S . (eds) Modern epidemiology 2nd edn Lippincott-Raven: Philadelphia, PA 1998 pp 255–259.

    Google Scholar 

  24. Lakka TA, Lakka HM, Salonen R, Kaplan GA, Salonen JT . Abdominal obesity is associated with accelerated progression of carotid atherosclerosis in men Atherosclerosis 2001 154: 497–504.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  25. Engstrom G, Hedblad B, Valind S, Janzon L . Asymptomatic leg and carotid atherosclerosis in smokers is related to degree of ventilatory capacity: longitudinal and cross-sectional results from ‘Men born in 1914’, Sweden Atherosclerosis 2001 155: 237–243.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  26. Björntorp P . ‘Portal’ adipose tissue as a generator of risk factors for cardiovascular disease and diabetes Arteriosclerosis 1990 10: 493–496.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. Larsson B . Obesity and body fat distribution as predictors of coronary heart disease In: Marmot M, Elliott P (eds) Coronary heart disease epidemiology from aetiology to public health Oxford University Press: Oxford 1995 pp 233–239.

    Google Scholar 

  28. Baik I, Ascherio A, Rimm EB, Giovannucci E, Spiegelman D, Stampfer MJ, Willett WC . Adiposity and mortality in men Am J Epidemiol 2000 152: 264–271.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  29. Seidell JC, Deerenberg I . Obesity in Europe—prevalence and consequences for use of medical care Pharmacoeconomics 1994 5 (Suppl): 38–44.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  30. Rosengren A, Eriksson H, Larsson B, Svärdsudd K, Tibblin G, Welin L, Wilhelmsen L . Secular changes in cardiovascular risk factors over 30 years in Swedish men aged 50: the study of men born in 1913, 1923, 1933 and 1943 J Intern Med 2000 247: 111–118.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  31. Engström G, Berglund G, Goransson M, Hansen O, Hedblad B, Merlo J, Tyden P, Janzon L . Distribution and determinants of ischemic heart disease in an urban population. A study from the myocardial infarction register in Malmo, Sweden J Intern Med 2000 247: 588–596.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Rosengren A, Wilhelmsen L . Physical activity protects against coronary death and deaths from all causes in middle-aged men. Evidence from a 20-year follow-up of the Primary Prevention Study in Göteborg Ann Epidemiol 1997 7: 69–75.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  33. Sjöström L . Surgical intervention as a strategy for treatment of obesity. (Review.) Endocrine 2000 13: 213–230.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  34. Poikolainen K, Vartiainen E . Determinants of gamma-glutamyltransferase: positive interaction with alcohol and body mass index, negative association with coffee Am J Epidemiol 1997 146: 1019–1024.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  35. Wei M, Kampert JB, Barlow CE, Nichaman MZ, Gibbons LW, Pfaffenberger RS, Blair SN . Relationship between low cardiorespiratory fitness and mortality in normal-weight, overweight, and obese men JAMA 1999 282: 1547–1553.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  36. Must A, Spadano J, Coakley EH, Field A, Colditz G, Dietz WH . The disease burden associated with overweight and obesity JAMA 1999 282: 1523–1529.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  37. Harris TB, Launer LJ, Madans J, Feldman JJ . Cohort study of effect of being overweight and change in weight on risk of coronary heart disease in old age Br Med J 1997 314: 1791–1794.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  38. Lundgren CH, Brown SL, Nordt TK, Sobel BE, Fujii S . Elaboration of type-1 plasminogen activator inhibitor from adipocytes. A potential pathogenetic link between obesity and cardiovascular disease Circulation 1996 93: 106–110.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  39. Alberti KGMM, Zimmet P . for the WHO Consultation. Definition, diagnosis and classification of diabetes mellitus and its complications. Part 1: Diagnosis and classification of diabetes mellitus. Provisional report of a WHO Consultation Diabetes Med 1998 15: 539–553.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  40. Balkau B, Charles M for the European Group for the Study of Insulin Resistance (EGIR). Comment on the provisional report from the WHO Consultation Diabetes Med 1999 16: 442–443.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

The Swedish Medical Association, the Swedish Council for Social Research and the Malmö City Council supported this study financially.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to B Hedblad.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Jonsson, S., Hedblad, B., Engström, G. et al. Influence of obesity on cardiovascular risk. Twenty-three-year follow-up of 22 025 men from an urban Swedish population. Int J Obes 26, 1046–1053 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1038/sj.ijo.0802060

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/sj.ijo.0802060

Keywords

This article is cited by

Search

Quick links